Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.198626 0.236757 0.277650 0.324492 0.376392 0.431876 0.495412
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.147745 0.198656 0.257435 0.329203 0.413373 0.507933 0.621156
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.105851 0.161629 0.231027 0.321060 0.432190 0.562453 0.724249
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.079824 0.138336 0.216531 0.323656 0.461777 0.629413 0.843756
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.057685 0.115064 0.197803 0.317505 0.478413 0.680067 0.944690
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.039431 0.092631 0.176079 0.303845 0.482839 0.714153 1.025134
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.030341 0.082403 0.170076 0.310487 0.513492 0.781859 1.149022
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.021032 0.068681 0.156080 0.303391 0.523831 0.822369 1.238335
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.017224 0.064677 0.157226 0.318741 0.565978 0.906052 1.385401
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.012417 0.056470 0.149523 0.319057 0.585725 0.959296 1.492965
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.008858 0.049598 0.142911 0.320104 0.605969 1.013169 1.601936
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.006772 0.045778 0.141470 0.329352 0.638552 1.084693 1.735721
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.005154 0.042622 0.141100 0.340754 0.675510 1.164300 1.883579
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003833 0.039589 0.140440 0.351452 0.711638 1.243506 2.032368
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002245 0.033535 0.131677 0.346460 0.722304 1.285885 2.130731
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001429 0.030139 0.128461 0.351357 0.748846 1.351784 2.262796
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000696 0.025353 0.120491 0.346158 0.758223 1.392186 2.359329
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000215 0.019912 0.108970 0.332444 0.752256 1.409000 2.422167
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000095 0.018196 0.107885 0.339978 0.782610 1.481118 2.564977
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000012 0.014784 0.100256 0.332718 0.786712 1.512919 2.649848
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000004 0.014544 0.103403 0.349225 0.833142 1.610685 2.831555
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.012549 0.099558 0.349671 0.850779 1.663899 2.948820
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.010863 0.096217 0.350851 0.869583 1.719064 3.069425